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  • 标题:Application of iterated filtering to stochastic volatility models based on non-Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Piotr Szczepocki
  • 期刊名称:Statistics in Transition
  • 印刷版ISSN:1234-7655
  • 电子版ISSN:2450-0291
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:21
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:173-187
  • DOI:10.21307/stattrans-2020-019
  • 出版社:Exeley Inc.
  • 摘要:Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard (2001) proposed a class of stochastic volatility models in which the volatility follows the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process driven by a positive Levy process without the Gaussian component. The parameter estimation of these models is challenging because the likelihood function is not available in a closed-form expression. A large number of estimation techniques have been proposed, mainly based on Bayesian inference. The main aim of the paper is to present an application of iterated filtering for parameter estimation of such models. Iterated filtering is a method for maximum likelihood inference based on a series of filtering operations, which provide a sequence of parameter estimates that converges to the maximum likelihood estimate. An application to S&P500 index data shows the model perform well and diagnostic plots for iterated filtering  ensure convergence iterated filtering to maximum likelihood estimates.  Empirical application is accompanied by a simulation study  that   confirms the validity of the approach in the case of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard’s stochastic volatility models.
  • 关键词:Ornstein–Uhlenbeck  process; stochastic volatility; iterated filtering
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