摘要：Since the spring 2018, a large part of Europe has been in the midst of a record-setting drought.
Using long-term observations, we demonstrate that the occurrence of the 2018–2019 (consecutive)
summer drought is unprecedented in the last 250 years, and its combined impact on the growing
season vegetation activities is stronger compared to the 2003 European drought. Using a suite of
climate model simulation outputs, we underpin the role of anthropogenic warming on exacerbating
the future risk of such a consecutive drought event. Under the highest Representative Concentration
Pathway, (RCP 8.5), we notice a seven-fold increase in the occurrence of the consecutive droughts,
with additional 40 (± 5) million ha of cultivated areas being afected by such droughts, during the
second half of the twenty-frst century.The occurrence is signifcantly reduced under low and medium
scenarios (RCP 2.6 and RCP 4.5), suggesting that an efective mitigation strategy could aid in reducing
the risk of future consecutive droughts.
