期刊名称：Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis
电子版ISSN：2070-5948
出版年度：2019
卷号：12
期号：4
页码：846-869
DOI：10.1285/i20705948v12n4p846
出版社：University of Salento
摘要：In such a global economic crisis context, our aims are describing the mobil- ity of the Palermitan graduates in the labour market, identifying the variables that in uence most their occupational status and nally outlining a transi- tion probability structure among the states: Work, Search for a Job, Study, Other. The availability of a large amount of longitudinal data provided by the surveys carried out by STELLA (Statistics about Graduates and Labour Market) allowed us to analyze the mobility of the graduates of the Univer- sity of Palermo among the di erent occupational states in three di erent times. We analyze data coming from a disproportionate strati ed sample of graduates in 2009, interviewed three di erent times: one year (2010), three years (2012), ve years (2014) after the graduation. To achieve our aim, rst we provide a brief descriptive analysis of the main characteristics of the graduates gathered by the three di erent surveys; secondly we t a time in- homogeneous multi-state Markov model with piecewise constant intensities; eventually implications from the main results are discussed.
关键词：occupational states mobility;Markov model;transition probabilities
