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  • 标题:Risk Evaluation in Software Project Using Bayesian Network Modeling
  • 其他标题:Evaluación de riesgos en proyectos de software mediante el modelado de redes bayesianas
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Adalberto Ramos Cassia ; André Felipe Librantz ; Ivanir Costa
  • 期刊名称:Research, Society and Development
  • 电子版ISSN:2525-3409
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:9
  • 期号:11
  • 页码:1-23
  • DOI:10.33448/rsd-v9i11.10116
  • 出版社:Grupo de Pesquisa Metodologias em Ensino e Aprendizagem em Ciências
  • 摘要:Project risk events are often influenced by each other and rarely act independently. In this context, effective methods to identify, model and analyze these risks are necessary. The objective of this article is to apply the risk analysis in a software development project, based on the model of the Software Engineering Institute (SEI), using the Bayes model to calculate the event probabilities and also the Noisy-OR calculation structure to assign the initial weights of the network of factors that influence the project. In this way, it is expected to increase the chances of success of the risk analysis process. The results obtained by the techniques adopted prove to be promising in assisting the process of decision making by the managers of software development projects.
  • 其他摘要:Project risk events are often influenced by each other and rarely act independently. In this context, effective methods to identify, model and analyze these risks are necessary. The objective of this article is to apply the risk analysis in a software development project, based on the model of the Software Engineering Institute (SEI), using the Bayes model to calculate the event probabilities and also the Noisy-OR calculation structure to assign the initial weights of the network of factors that influence the project. In this way, it is expected to increase the chances of success of the risk analysis process. The results obtained by the techniques adopted prove to be promising in assisting the process of decision making by the managers of software development projects.
  • 关键词:Software Project; Risk analysis; Bayesian modeling; Noisy-OR.
  • 其他关键词:Software Project; Risk analysis; Bayesian modeling; Noisy-OR.
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