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  • 标题:Long-Term Trend of Liver Cancer Mortality in Serbia, 1991–2015: An Age-Period-Cohort and Joinpoint Regression Analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Irena Ilic ; Sandra Sipetic Grujicic ; Jovan Grujicic
  • 期刊名称:Healthcare
  • 电子版ISSN:2227-9032
  • 出版年度:2020
  • 卷号:8
  • 期号:3
  • 页码:283-295
  • DOI:10.3390/healthcare8030283
  • 出版社:MDPI Publishing
  • 摘要:Background and Objectives: Trends of liver cancer mortality vary widely around the world. The purpose of this study was to assess the trend of liver cancer mortality in Serbia. Material and Methods: Descriptive epidemiological study design was used in this research. The age-standardized rates (ASRs, per 100,000) were calculated using the direct method, according to the World standard population. Temporal trends were assessed using the average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95% confidence interval (95% CI), according to joinpoint regression. An age-period-cohort analysis was used to evaluate the underlying factors for liver cancer mortality trends. Results: In Serbia from 1991 to 2015, over 11,000 men and nearly 8000 women died from liver cancer. The trend in liver cancer mortality significantly decreased both in men (AAPC = −1.3%; 95% CI = −1.7 to −0.9) and women (AAPC = −1.5%; 95% CI = −1.9 to −1.1). For liver cancer mortality, statistically significant cohort and period effects were observed in both genders. Conclusions: The downward trends in liver cancer mortality in Serbia are recorded during the past decades.
  • 关键词:liver cancer; mortality; trends; joinpoint regression analysis; age-period-cohort analysis liver cancer ; mortality ; trends ; joinpoint regression analysis ; age-period-cohort analysis
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