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  • 标题:Money and inflation in inflation-targeting regimes – new evidence from time–frequency analysis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Maciej Ryczkowski
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Applied Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1514-0326
  • 电子版ISSN:1667-6726
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:24
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:17-44
  • DOI:10.1080/15140326.2020.1830461
  • 摘要:This article investigates the post-1990 link between broad money growth and inflation in 16 full-fledged inflation-targeting regimes and four benchmark non-inflation-targeting regimes. This study employs the Christiano-Fitzgerald band-pass filter and continuous wavelet transform to analyze the co-movements across operational horizons and time. According to the band-pass filtering techniques, the link between money growth and inflation was weak and statistically nonsignificant over the investigated period: from 1990 onwards. The wavelet analysis demonstrated significant causality running from money growth to inflation, and strong significant co-movements between the two variables around the Great Recession at a typical business cycle frequency. This finding suggests that policymakers may need to respond to the short-run surges in money growth by reducing money growth rates. The empirical findings support the proposal that policymakers should return to a monetary framework that controls the money supply.
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