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  • 标题:Analyzing Seasonality and Forecasting the Number of Tourists’ Overnight Stays in Constanta Municipality
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Aivaz Kamer Ainur ; Jugănaru Mariana ; Jugănaru Ion Dănut
  • 期刊名称:Ovidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series
  • 电子版ISSN:2393-3127
  • 出版年度:2017
  • 卷号:17
  • 期号:1
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Ovidius University Press
  • 摘要:Constanta is perceived as the country’s largest port-city,but also as the most visited tourist city on the Romanian Black Sea coast. For many generations,Constanta has been the place where many beautiful summer holidays memories are made,being associated especially with the sea and the sun. These aspects highlight the seasonality in tourism activities. Using an important tourist traffic indicator,the "number of overnight stays",the objectives of this study are to analyze the seasonality in the tourism activity in Constanta,between 2010 and 2016,and to predict the evolution of this indicator,per months,for 2017. We appreciate that the results of this research are a relevant basis for various stakeholder debates (which carry out,or are related to,tourism activities),on the choice of a strategy that would contribute to the reduction of seasonality in the tourism activity carried out in Constanta.
  • 关键词:seasonality;number of overnight stays;mobile backgrounds;Gini index;forecast
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