摘要：The increase in crude oil price may disturb Indonesian macroeconomic indicators.As the biggest crude palm oil producer in the world,Indonesia can develop palm oil based biodiesel to reduce the negative impact of crude oil price increase.Palm oil based biodiesel development can influence palm oil plantation and palm oil industry and its downstream industry.By using econometric models,this study found that palm oil based biodiesel industry development will give positive impact on palm oil plantation and palm oil industry and give negative impact on palm oil downstream industry in Indonesia.Simulation can be applied to know the impact of policy on palm oil plantation,palm oil industry and palm oil downstream industry in Indonesia by palm oil based biodiesel industry development.The result of this simulation can be used to formulate the best policy for palm oil based biodiesel industry development.It shows that when government expenditure and the export tax increase while the interest rate decreases,a higher positive impact will be in favor to palm oil plantation,palm oil industry and palm oil downstream industry.However the rise in export tax can reduce the area of palm oil plantation.
其他摘要：Kenaikan harga minyak bumi dapat mempengaruhi indikator makroekonomi Indonesia.Sebagai penghasil minyak kelapa sawit terbesar di dunia,Indonesia dapat mengembangkan biodiesel dari minyak kelapa sawit untuk mengurangi dampak negatif kenaikan harga minyak b
关键词：palm oil based biodiesel industry;palm oil plantation;palm oil industry;econometric models.
其他关键词：industri biodiesel berbasis kelapa sawit;perkebunan kelapa sawit;industri minyak kelapa sawit;model ekonometrika
