期刊名称：Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
印刷版ISSN：1302-504X
电子版ISSN：2147-7973
出版年度：2012
卷号：27
期号：1
语种：English
出版社：Dokuz Eylül University
摘要：To obtain inflation forecasts is an important economic issue. The more accurate forecasts we get implies the more precise decisions we make. The central Bankreports inflation rates in certain periods of every year. In this reports the results of inflation expectation survey are presented. In this study we use an approach in which relationship is determined by artificial neural network in high order fuzzy time series model. Time series of consumer price index is estimated by both the artificial neural network based method and some fuzzy approaches which is common in the literature. The results are compared to the results of inflation expectation survey analysis conducted by Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey in the aspect of forecasts accuracy.
其他摘要：Enflasyon öngörülerinin elde edilmesi önemli bir ekonomik problemdir. Öngörülerin daha doğru elde edilmesi daha doğru kararlara neden olacaktır. T.C. Merkez bankası her yılın belirli dönemlerinde enflasyon raporları yayınlamaktadır. Raporlarda enflasyon b
关键词：Fuzzy time series;artificial neural networks;forecasting
其他关键词：Bulanık zaman serileri;yapay sinir ağları;öngörü
