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  • 标题:Forecast of the Evolution of Employment in Romanian Agriculture Using Fuzzy Time Series
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Cristian Marinoiu
  • 期刊名称:Petroleum-Gas University of Ploiesti Bulletin : Economic Sciences Series
  • 印刷版ISSN:2284-8576
  • 电子版ISSN:2247-8582
  • 出版年度:2016
  • 期号:3
  • 语种:English
  • 出版社:Petroleum-Gas University of Ploiesti
  • 摘要:In terms of agricultural indicators Romania occupies a special place among EU countries: it is the sixth EU country in terms of utilized agricultural area,it has the largest number of farms and last but not least the highest degree of labour occupancy in agriculture.Given the major differences compared to the averages recorded in EU countries,the future evolution of these indicators is a legitimate concern.In this paper we propose a forecast of the employment evolution of the labour force in Romania's agriculture using fuzzy time series.We also show a comparison between the forecast accuracy achieved on the basis of fuzzy time series and the one achieved by using neural networks,using the Diebold-Mariano’s statistic test.
  • 关键词:fuzzy time series;forecasting;accuracy
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