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  • 标题:MODELING CENTRAL JAVA INFLATION AND GRDP RATE USING SPLINE TRUNCATED BIRESPON REGRESSION AND BIRESPON LINEAR MODEL
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Suparti Suparti ; Alan Prahutama ; Agus Rusgiyono
  • 期刊名称:MEDIA STATISTIKA
  • 印刷版ISSN:1979-3693
  • 电子版ISSN:2477-0647
  • 出版年度:2019
  • 卷号:12
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:129-139
  • DOI:10.14710/medstat.12.2.129-139
  • 出版社:MEDIA STATISTIKA
  • 摘要:Inflation and Gross Regional Domestic Income (GRDP) are two macroeconomic variables of a region that are correlated with each other. GRDP prices constant (real) can be used as an indicator of economic growth in a region from year to year. Inflation is calculated from the CPI rate and economic growth is calculated from the GRDP rate. Inflation and economic growth in an area are influenced by several factors including bank interest rates. Analysis of data consisting of 2 correlated responses can be performed with birespon regression analysis. In this research, modeling of inflation data and the rate of GRDP through birespon data modeling uses spline truncated nonparametric method and birespon linear parametric method. The purpose of this study is to model inflation data and the Central Java GRDP rate using spline truncated birespon regression. The results are compared with the birespon linear regression model. By using quarterly data from the first quarter of 2007 - the second quarter of 2019, the spline truncated model is better than the linear model, because the spline truncated model has a smaller MSE and R2 is greater than the linear model. Both models have the same performance which is quite good.
  • 关键词:Inflation;GRDP;Spline Biresponse;Inflation;GRDP;Spline Biresponse
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