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  • 标题:Targeting Your Preferences: Modelling Micro-Targeting for an Increasingly Diverse Electorate
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Toby Pilditch ; Jens Koed Madsen
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation
  • 印刷版ISSN:1460-7425
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:24
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:1
  • DOI:10.18564/jasss.4452
  • 出版社:University of Surrey, Department of Sociology
  • 摘要:The use of data to inform and run political campaigning has become an inescapable trend in recent years. In attempting to persuade an electorate, micro-targeted campaigns (MTCs) have been employed to great eect through the use of tailored messaging and selective targeting. Here we investigate the capacity of MTCs to deal with the diversity of political preferences across an electorate. More precisely, via an Agent-Based Model we simulate various diverse electorates that encompass single issue, multiple issue, swing, and disengaged voters (among others, including combinations thereof) and determine the relative persuasive eicacy of MTCs when pitted against more traditional, population-targeting campaigns. Taking into account the perceived credibility of these campaigns, we find MTCs highly capable of handling greater voter complexity than shown in previous work, and yielding further advantages beyond traditional campaigns in their capacity to avoid ineicient (or even backfiring) interactions – even when fielding a low credibility candidate.
  • 关键词:Micro-Targeted Campaigning; Cognitive Modelling; Source Credibility; Political Messaging; Simulation; Bayesian Modelling
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