摘要：This work presents the simulation of a pilot scale beer production plant (150 L/batch) with red sorghum ciap r-132 as the main raw material. A sensitivity study consisting of 11 experimental runs was carried out, through which the influence of three initial variables (beer production capacity per batch, purchasing cost of red sorghum, and sale price of the beer bottle) was evaluated over three important economic indicators: Net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and payback time (PT). Results show that $ 570,000 Cuban pesos (CUP) must be invested to erect the production plant, the unit cost of production reached a value of CUP 12.82/bottle, while NPV, IRR and PT values were CUP 480,000, 28.83% and 3.82 years, respectively, which qualifies the project as economically profitable and feasible from the investor’s point of view. Several equations were obtained that establish the statistical correlation between the three input variables and the three output variables. The SuperPro Designer® v.8.5 simulator was used to carry out the simulation, as well as Statgraphics Centurion XVI® software for the statistical processing of data.
关键词：análisis de sensibilidad;cerveza;rentabilidad económica;simulación;sorgo
