首页    期刊浏览 2025年02月20日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:Difference Equation Model-Based PM 2.5 Prediction considering the Spatiotemporal Propagation: A Case Study of Bohai Rim Region, China
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Ceyu Lei ; Xiaoling Han ; Chenghua Gao
  • 期刊名称:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
  • 印刷版ISSN:1026-0226
  • 电子版ISSN:1607-887X
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:2021
  • 页码:1-11
  • DOI:10.1155/2021/6614950
  • 出版社:Hindawi Publishing Corporation
  • 摘要:Accurate reporting and prediction of PM 2.5 concentration are very important for improving public health. In this article, we use a spectral clustering algorithm to cluster 44 cities in the Bohai Rim Region. On this basis, we propose a special difference equation model, especially the use of nonlinear diffusion equations to characterize the temporal and spatial dynamic characteristics of PM 2.5 propagation between and within clusters for real-time prediction. For example, through the analysis of PM 2.5 concentration data for 92 consecutive days in the Bohai Rim Region, and according to different accuracy definitions, the average prediction accuracy of the difference equation model in all city clusters is 97% or 90%. The mean absolute error (MAE) of the forecast data for each urban agglomeration is within 7 units μg / m 3 . The experimental results show that the difference equation model can effectively reduce the prediction time, improve the prediction accuracy, and provide decision support for local air pollution early warning and urban comprehensive management.
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有