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  • 标题:Fractional-Order Derivative Model of Rift Valley Fever in Urban Peridomestic Cycle
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Saul C. Mpeshe
  • 期刊名称:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
  • 印刷版ISSN:1026-0226
  • 电子版ISSN:1607-887X
  • 出版年度:2021
  • 卷号:2021
  • 页码:1-11
  • DOI:10.1155/2021/2941961
  • 出版社:Hindawi Publishing Corporation
  • 摘要:Rift Valley fever is a zoonotic disease which is mainly transmitted by mosquitoes and has potential to affect humans and animals. To gain some understanding on its dynamics in an urban peridomestic cycle, a fractional-order derivative model is formulated and analysed. The basic reproduction number ℛ 0 is computed and used in analysing the stability of disease when an outbreak occurs. Numerical simulations are performed in order to the variation of each population at order α = 1,0.75 , 0.5 , and 0.25. Results from simulations show that there is an increase in susceptible and exposed population in both human and mosquitoes as the value of α decreases. The infected population decreases with a decrease in the value of α . However, a rapid increase in susceptible mosquitoes is observed just after the first 30 days and a rapid decrease in infected human and mosquitoes after the first 30 days for α = 1 . Hence, fractional-order derivative also plays a significant role in providing insight on disease transmission and dynamics.
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