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  • 标题:Network-based macro fluctuations: what about an open economy?
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Mihnea Constantinescu ; Kristina Barauskaite
  • 期刊名称:Baltic Journal of Economics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1406-099X
  • 出版年度:2018
  • 卷号:18
  • 期号:2
  • 页码:95-117
  • DOI:10.1080/1406099X.2018.1517997
  • 出版社:EuroBaltic Centres of Excellence; CEEOL
  • 摘要:Do input–output linkages of intermediate products affect the spread of sectoral shocks at the aggregate level in Lithuania, a small and open economy? What role does openness play in the empirical exercise? We answer these questions by: (i) constructing the Lithuanian input–output transactions tables with domestic-only and domestic and imported sector-by-sector direct requirements, and (ii) applying Acemoglu, Carvalho, Ozdaglar, and TahbazSalehis [(2012). The network origins of aggregate fluctuations. Econometrica, 80(5), 1977–2016] network-based methodology and Gabaix and Ibragimov’s [(2011). Rank-1/2: A simple way to improve the ols estimation of tail exponents. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 29(1), 24–39] modified log rank-log size regression. Our results indicate that the structure of input–output linkages cause aggregate economic volatility to decay at a rate lower than the established theoretical prediction. Indirect linkages play an equally important role for both domestic-only and aggregated domestic and import transactions.
  • 关键词:Input–output network ; aggregate volatility ; small-open economy ; complexity economics
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