摘要：The paper deals with the integration of the wear process into a statistical model of the status of vehicle tyres. The probabilities of the states are provided by a Markov model. The considered phenomena are the accidental perforation of the tyre, the repair of the perforated tyre and the wear, meaning the loss of rubber material on the tyre surface. The model predicts the probability of exceeding the limit of the safe operating, for a batch of tyres. It is useful to determine the optimum time for the replacement of the tyres. Supplementary, periodic identification of the model parameters allows the setting of an alarm about unusual phenomena that affect the safe operation. More versions of the statistical distributions of the parameters are studied. The results are validated by numerical simulation.
关键词：tyre wear; Markov model; probability; statistical distribution
