期刊名称：International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks
印刷版ISSN：1550-1329
电子版ISSN：1550-1477
出版年度：2018
卷号：14
期号：6
页码：1
DOI：10.1177/1550147718779564
出版社：Hindawi Publishing Corporation
摘要：Cybersecurity protection becomes an essential requirement for industrial production systems, while industrial production systems are moving from isolation to interconnection with the development of information and communication technology. Dynamic risk assessment plays an important role in cybersecurity protection, providing the real-time security situation to the industrial production systems managers. Currently, few researches in this domain focus on the physical process of industrial production systems, let alone considering the combination of attack propagation in cyber space and the abnormal events happening in physical space for risk assessment. In this article, an extended multilevel flow model-based dynamic risk assessment approach for industrial production systems is proposed, where the extended multilevel flow model models the production process graphically and describes the relationships among devices, functions, and flows quantitatively. Based on the extended multilevel flow model of industrial production systems, a Bayesian network is built to analyze the attack propagation over time, and the consequences of cyber attack in production process are assessed quantitatively. Some simulations on a chemical process system are carried out to verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The results demonstrate that this approach can assess the dynamic cybersecurity risk of industrial production systems in a quantitative way.
