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  • 标题:When Inflation Causes No Increase in Claim Amounts
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Vytaras Brazauskas ; Bruce L. Jones ; Ričardas Zitikis
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Probability and Statistics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1687-952X
  • 电子版ISSN:1687-9538
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:2009
  • DOI:10.1155/2009/943926
  • 出版社:Hindawi Publishing Corporation
  • 摘要:It is well known that when (re)insurance coverages involve a deductible, the impact of inflation of loss amounts is distorted, and the changes in claims paid by the (re)insurer cannot be assumed to reflect the rate of inflation. A particularly interesting phenomenon occurs when losses follow a Pareto distribution. In this case, the observed loss amounts (those that exceed the deductible) are identically distributed from year to year even in the presence of inflation. Nevertheless, in this paper we succeed in estimating the inflation rate from the observations. We develop appropriate statistical inferential methods to quantify the inflation rate and illustrate them using simulated data. Our solution hinges on the recognition that the distribution of the number of observed losses changes from year to year depending on the inflation rate.
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