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  • 标题:A spatially stochastic epidemic model with partial immunization shows in mean field approximation the reinfection threshold
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Nico Stollenwerk ; Sander van Noort ; José Martins
  • 期刊名称:Journal of Biological Dynamics
  • 印刷版ISSN:1751-3758
  • 电子版ISSN:1751-3766
  • 出版年度:2010
  • 卷号:4
  • 期号:6
  • 页码:634-649
  • DOI:10.1080/17513758.2010.487159
  • 出版社:Taylor & Francis
  • 摘要:Recently, the notion of a reinfection threshold in epidemiological models of only partial immunity has been debated in the literature. We present a rigorous analysis of a model of reinfection which shows a clear threshold behaviour at the parameter point where the reinfection threshold was originally described. Furthermore, we demonstrate that this threshold is the mean field version of a transition in corresponding spatial models of immunization. The reinfection threshold corresponds to the transition between annular growth of an epidemics spreading into a susceptible area leaving recovered behind and compact growth of a susceptible-infected-susceptible region growing into a susceptible area. This transition between annular growth and compact growth was described in the physics literature long before the reinfection threshold debate broke out in the theoretical biology literature.
  • 关键词:SIRI model; critical threshold; compact growth; annular growth
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