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  • 标题:Geographically Assisted Elicitation of Expert Opinion for Regression Models
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Robert Denham ; Kerrie Mengersen
  • 期刊名称:Bayesian Analysis
  • 印刷版ISSN:1931-6690
  • 电子版ISSN:1936-0975
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 卷号:2
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:99-136
  • 出版社:International Society for Bayesian Analysis
  • 摘要:One of the perceived strengths of Bayesian modelling is the ability to include prior information. Although objective or noninformative priors might be preferred in some situations, in many other applications the Bayesian framework o ers a real opportunity to formally combine data with information available from experts. The question addressed in this paper is how to elicit this information in a form suitable for prior modelling. Particular attention is paid to geographic data for which maps might be used to assist in the elicitation. Two case studies are used to illustrate the methodology: estimation of city house prices and prediction of presence of a rare species.
  • 关键词:elicitation, expert opinion, regression
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