摘要:In Croatia as in other European countries we experience a decrease
of fertility and a demographic ageing of the population. In almost all the
countries the level of fertility is below the replacement level. The decrease of
the fertility and the increase of life expectancy leads to a larger proportion of
the elderly population and to a decrease of the potential working contingent,
which influences the entire economic development. A systematic analysis of
the population is therefore essential. To analyze the population, as precise
as possible, we apply demometric methods. Thus, the fertility, the stable
population model, and the hidden population momentum are analyzed.
Besides usual demographic measurements we also calculate the Bongaarts-
Feeney quantum and tempo of fertility and the Coale-Trussell fertility method.
The intrinsic growth rate of a stable population model is also determined. The
population momentum describes a possible reason for the changing number
of inhabitants. All these demometric methods are also applied on other countries
so that the Croatian population can be compared to other populations of
European countries.
关键词:Demometry, Fertility, Stable Population, Population Momentum.