摘要：The Pacific Northwest (PNW)—Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and Utah—and California are leading producers of fresh sweet cherries in the United States and the world. Washington is the largest producer of sweet cherries for the fresh market in the U.S. Cherries are a high-value commodity, and cherry crops from the above states typically command some of the highest prices in the world.1 However, cherry prices also are very volatile, depending on production levels in different geographical regions, weather conditions (e.g., freeze, rain split), pollination, and domestic and international markets. The purpose of this research is to model cherry price formation at the farm level across different states in the PNW and California. This regional approach allows U.S. to draw comparisons and inferences about the marketing forces affecting each state, and determine if a particular state is able to differentiate its product relative to the others. Moreover, own- and cross-quantity flexibilities are estimated to examine the impact of production levels among the states and examine output to domestic and international markets.
