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  • 标题:Extreme Correlation of Defaults and LGDs
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Yen-Ting Hu
  • 期刊名称:Birkbeck Working Papers in Economics and Finance / School of Economics, Mathematics and Statistics, Birkbeck College
  • 印刷版ISSN:1745-8587
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 卷号:2007
  • 出版社:London University
  • 摘要:This paper conducts a systematic investigation into the correlation between the default rate and three definitions of the recovery rate: price recoveries, settlement recoveries and discounted settlement recoveries. The data suggests a strong linear correlation for price recoveries and a weak one for settlement recoveries, but little or no correlation for discounted settlement recoveries. Using extreme value techniques, I show that the tail dependency for the settlement recoveries is as strong as that for the price recoveries. The probability of high losses (loss given default exceeding 0.9) is consistently higher for the settlement recoveries than for the price recoveries at any level of the quarterly default rate above 0.1%
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