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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Uncertainty
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Professor Yuri Ermoliev ; Dr. Tatiana Ermolieva ; Dr. Marek Makowski
  • 期刊名称:Options Magazine
  • 出版年度:2008
  • 卷号:WIN
  • 页码:22-22
  • 出版社:International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
  • 摘要:Today, decision makers are faced by diverse complex and interlinked challenges ranging from climate change to food shortages. The complexity of such issues often means that only scientists can provide rational and objective support for decision making. However, the role of science is not to “solve” the problem, but rather to help decision makers analyze the possible solutions taking into account trade-offs between often conflicting goals (such as cost, environmental and social impacts, risks, etc.), which are often impossible to evaluate precisely.
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