期刊名称：BRE : Brazilian Review of Econometrics / Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria
印刷版ISSN：0101-7012
出版年度：2007
卷号：27
期号：1
页码：53-53–84
出版社：Rio de Janeiro
摘要：The objective of this paper is to evaluate the effect of the 1985 “Employment Services
for Ex-Offenders” (ESEO) program on recidivism. Initially, the sample has been split
randomly in a control group and a treatment group. However, the actual treatment
(mainly being job related counseling) only takes place conditional on finding a job, and
not having been arrested, for those selected in the treatment group. We use a multiple
proportional hazard model with unobserved heterogeneity for job search and recidivism
time which incorporates the conditional treatment effect. We find that the program helps
to reduce criminal activity, contrary to the result of the previous analysis of this data
set. This finding is important for crime prevention policy.
关键词：Econometric Program Evaluation, Multiple Risks, Recidivism.
