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  • 标题:Le taux d’actualisation contre le principe de précaution? : leçons à partir du cas des politiques climatiques
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Franck Lecocq et Jean-Charles Hourcade
  • 期刊名称:L'Actualité économique
  • 印刷版ISSN:0001-771X
  • 电子版ISSN:1710-3991
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:80
  • 期号:1
  • 页码:41-41–65
  • 出版社:Erudit
  • 摘要:The application of standard cost-benefit analysis to evaluate long-term policies has been heavily criticized, in particular because of discounting, which is accused of putting too little weight on the future, thus contradicting the precautionary principle. Based on the example of climate mitigation policies, we show why discounting, rigorously applied, is necessary to clarify the issues at stake in the decision. In particular, we demonstrate that, within a sequential decision-making framework with increasing information, the value of pure time discounting matters less than the assumptions we make about future growth,
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