出版社：Energy Information Administration, US Department of Energy
摘要：AEO2006 presents three views of economic growth
for the forecast period from 2004 through 2030.
Although probabilities are not assigned, the reference
case reflects the most likely view of how the economy
will unfold over the period. In the reference case, the
Nation¡¯s economic growth, measured in terms of real
GDP based on 2000 chain-weighted dollars, is projected
to average 3.0 percent per year (Figure 24). The
labor force is projected to grow by 0.8 percent per year
on average; labor productivity growth in the nonfarm
business sector is projected to average 2.3 percent per
year; and investment growth is projected to average
4.0 percent per year. Disposable income grows by 3.1
percent per year in the reference case and disposable
income per capita by 2.2 percent per year. Nonfarm
employment grows by 1.1 percent per year, while
employment in manufacturing shrinks by 0.5 percent
per year.
