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  • 标题:Projected Emissions
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 期刊名称:Annual Energy Outlook
  • 印刷版ISSN:0740-4190
  • 出版年度:2006
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:Energy Information Administration, US Department of Energy
  • 摘要:CO2 emissions from the combustion of fossil fuels are proportional to fuel consumption. Among fossil fuel types, coal has the highest carbon content, natural gas the lowest, and petroleum in between. In the AEO2006 reference case, the shares of these fuels change slightly from 2004 to 2030, with more coal and less petroleum and natural gas. The combined share of carbon-neutral renewable and nuclear energy is stable from 2004 to 2030 at 14 percent. As a result, CO2 emissions increase by a moderate average of 1.2 percent per year over the period, slightly higher than the average annual increase in total energy use (Figure 107). At the same time, the economy becomes less carbon intensive: the percentage increase in CO2 emissions is one-third the increase in GDP, and emissions per capita increase by only 11 percent over the 26-year period.
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