摘要：This paper traces the development of Thailand’s agricultural sector over the past four decades. It analyzes the factors that are contributing to agricultural productivity changes. Productivity growth in Thai agriculture lags behind that in manufacture, preventing a natural transfer of agricultural workers. The paper analyzes the changing pattern of competitiveness of Thailand’s agricultural exports by focusing on their growth and their world market shares. The results indicate that in general the Thai agriculture can remain competitive. Exports of agricultural products have been diversified over the years, and their ability to compete in the world markets has been enhanced. While traditional commodities may lose their importance in the future, new agricultural products will emerge. Processed food industry will be the key to the future of Thailand’s agriculture, but maintaining export competitiveness requires constant upgrading of food-safety standards. Dynamism of the Thai agriculture through continued productivity improvement will enable Thailand to cope with new challenges and random shocks from both demand and supply sides.
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