期刊名称:Informing Science: The International Journal of an Emerging Transdiscipline
印刷版ISSN:1547-9684
电子版ISSN:1521-4672
出版年度:2004
卷号:7
页码:117-117
出版社:Informing Science Institute
摘要:In the environmental field, modeling plays a critical role in connecting current data and knowl-edge with predictions of future events and environmental states. Environmental problems are quite challenging to solve because of the complex relationships among many contributing factors, both natural and man-made. Moreover, these problems need to be addressed not only by envi-ronmental engineers and regulators but also by a larger community consisting of concerned members of the public and nongovernmental organizations. Their demands on environmental modeling often conflict because predictions need to be accurate yet easily understood, communi-cated, and explored. The requirements for environmental modeling are generally identified as accuracy, defensibility, transparency, efficiency, and effectiveness. An approach to meet these requirements based on layered components, role assignments, and flexible integration strategies is identified, developed, and tested with prototypes. The results from the prototypes suggest possi-ble enhancements for further advancing the use and communication of environmental modeling. Qualitative comparisons with other approaches are framed with identified criteria.