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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Forecast Uncertainties
  • 期刊名称:The Bulgarian Economy in 2008 (annual report)
  • 印刷版ISSN:0861-6345
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:APR
  • 页码:22-22
  • 出版社:Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting
  • 摘要:AEAF forecasts are based on a short-term growth scenario of the Bulgarian economy, including estimates of the economic policies currently implemented as well as the likely changes in the macroeconomic parameters that may take place. In addition, any interference on the part of the government in case of contingencies should be looked upon as emergent risks, creating a certain amount of uncertainty as regards the expectations of the economic agents. All this may affect the patterns of their market behaviour in the near future and also call for certain revisions in the performance of the model-based indicators.
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