期刊名称:The Bulgarian Economy in 2008 (annual report)
印刷版ISSN:0861-6345
出版年度:2005
卷号:OCT
页码:13-13
出版社:Agency for Economic Analysis and Forecasting
摘要:Q3 average oil prices ran some USD 10 higher than earlier estimates as a result of the
tightened relations between Iran and the USA as to Iran¡¯s nuclear programme and the
damages suffered by the US oil industry in the wake of the hurricanes. All this exerted
some extra pressure on trading and in end-August futures market prices stepped up
well over USD 70 per barrel. However, as a follow up, some of the big economies had
recourse to market interventions by unblocking their strategic reserves and oil prices
set back at slightly over USD 60 per barrel in September. Current estimates do not
provide for any further increase in oil prices for two main reasons: first, consumption is
already on its way to turn to alternative sources of car fuels, and second, there are all
the indications in place of a certain slowdown in global growth prompted by the excessively
high oil prices. Therefore, with a view to the coming winter months, current
forecasts draw on some USD 62-63 per barrel in the last quarter, and an insignificant
price decrease ever afterwards.