出版社:Suntory Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines
摘要:This paper tests various hypotheses about distributive politics by studying the
distribution of federal spending across U.S. states over the period 1978-2002.
We improve on previous work by using survey data to measure the share of voters
in each state that are Democrats, Republicans, and independents, or liberals,
conservatives and moderates. We find no evidence for the “swing voter"
hypothesis { that is, no significant association between the amount of federal
funds a state receives and the fraction of independents or moderates in the
state. We also find no evidence for the “battleground state" hypothesis - no
significant association between the amount of federal funds and the degree of
partisan balance in a state. Modest support is found for the \partisan
supporters" hypothesis, which conjectures that politicians will favour areas
that contain a large percentage of their core supporters.
关键词:Electoral competition, swing voter, partisanship, election closeness, US Federal
Spending