期刊名称:BRE : Brazilian Review of Econometrics / Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria
印刷版ISSN:0101-7012
出版年度:2005
卷号:25
期号:1
页码:115-115–137
出版社:Rio de Janeiro
摘要:The goal of this paper is to explore an applied tool for sensitivity analysis in computable
general equilibrium models (CGE). An interregional CGE model is used to assess the
impacts of the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) on Brazilian regions. As interregional
substitution and factor mobility can be the key mechanisms that drive the
model results, one should take closer attention to the estimated regional trade elasticities.
Since information for proper estimation is rarely available, qualitative sensitivity analysis
should be designed and used together with systematic quantitative sensitivity analysis.
The sensitivity of results to parameters is evaluated in such a way that we can assess the
robustness of results to different levels of elasticities of substitution.
关键词:Sensitivity Analysis, Computable General Equilibrium, Regional Models,
FTAA.