期刊名称:HIER Discussion Paper Series / Harvard Institute of Economic Research
出版年度:2005
卷号:2005
出版社:Harvard Institute of Economic Research
摘要:We present a unified approach to value at risk analysis under heavy-tailedness
using new majorization theory for linear combinations of thick-tailed random
variables that we develop. Among other results, we show that the stylized fact
that portfolio diversification is always preferable is reversed for extremely
heavy-tailed risks or returns. The stylized facts on diversification are
nevertheless robust to thick-tailedness of risks or returns as long as their
distributions are not extremely long-tailed. We further demonstrate that the
value at risk is a coherent measure of risk if distributions of risks are not
extremely heavy-tailed. However, coherency of the value at risk is always
violated under extreme thick-tailedness. Extensions of the results to the case
of dependence, including convolutions of a-symmetric distributions and models
with common stochs are provided.