期刊名称：Discussion paper / Centre for International Economic Studies, University of Adelaide
电子版ISSN：1445-3746
出版年度：2005
卷号：1
出版社：Centre for International Economic Studies, University of Adelaide
摘要：This paper provides estimates of the impact that removing all merchandise trade
distortions (including agricultural subsidies) would have on food and agricultural
production, trade and incomes. Using the latest versions of the GTAP database and the
World Bank¡¯s LINKAGE model of the global economy (projected to 2015), our results
suggest farm employment, the real value of agricultural output and exports, the real
returns to farm land and unskilled labor, and real net farm incomes would all rise
substantially in developing country regions with a move to free merchandise trade,
thereby alleviating rural poverty ¨C despite the decline in international terms of trade for
developing countries that are net food importers or are enjoying preferential access to
agricultural markets of high-income countries.
