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  • 标题:Mortality - Dependent Financial Risk Measures
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Kevin Dowd ; Andrew J. G. Cairns ; David Blake
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Paper / The Pensions Institute
  • 印刷版ISSN:1367-580X
  • 出版年度:2006
  • 卷号:2006
  • 页码:427-440
  • 出版社:Pensions Institute
  • 摘要:This paper uses a recently developed two-factor stochastic mortality model to estimate financial risk measures for four illustrative types of mortality-dependent financial position: investments in zero-coupon longevity bonds; investments in longevity bonds that pay annual survivor-dependent coupons; and two examples of an insurer’s annuity book that are each hedged by a longevity bond, one based on the annuity book and hedge having the same reference cohort, and the other not. The risk measures estimated are the value-at-risk, the expected shortfall and a spectral risk measure based on an exponential risk-aversion function. Results are reported on a model calibrated on data provided by the UK Government Actuary’s Department, both with and without underlying parameter uncertainty.
  • 关键词:Mortality risk; Longevity bonds; Value-at-risk; Coherent risk measures; Spectral risk measures
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