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  • 标题:The Colombian Conflict: Uribe's First 17 Months
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Jorge Restrepo ; Michael Spagat
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers in Economics / Department of Economics, Royal Holloway
  • 出版年度:2004
  • 卷号:2004
  • 出版社:University of London
  • 摘要:Analysis of our new, 16-year dataset on the Colombian civil war finds under Uribe: guerrilla and paramilitary attacks dropping sharply to long-run averages since 1988, lower for April- December, 2003; government- guerrilla clashes at all-time highs, exceeding guerrilla attacks; civilian killings dropping sharply and continuously to all-time lows, mainly from decreased paramilitary attacks; combatant killings rising sharply to all-time highs; guerrilla tactics shifting toward indiscriminate attacking, forcing civilian injuries to long-run highs; government-toguerrilla casualty ratios in clashes falling; governmentparamilitary clashes increasing but still uncommon; paramilitary performance in clashes poor and worsening; guerrillaparamilitary clashes dropping sharply; the ELN seriously weakened, mounting few attacks.
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