期刊名称：Discussion Papers in Economics / Department of Economics, Royal Holloway
出版年度：2004
卷号：2004
出版社：University of London
摘要：Analysis of our new, 16-year dataset on the Colombian civil war
finds under Uribe: guerrilla and paramilitary attacks dropping
sharply to long-run averages since 1988, lower for April-
December, 2003; government- guerrilla clashes at all-time highs,
exceeding guerrilla attacks; civilian killings dropping sharply
and continuously to all-time lows, mainly from decreased
paramilitary attacks; combatant killings rising sharply to all-time
highs; guerrilla tactics shifting toward indiscriminate attacking,
forcing civilian injuries to long-run highs; government-toguerrilla
casualty ratios in clashes falling; governmentparamilitary
clashes increasing but still uncommon; paramilitary
performance in clashes poor and worsening; guerrillaparamilitary
clashes dropping sharply; the ELN seriously
weakened, mounting few attacks.
