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文章基本信息

  • 标题:Introducing the EURO-STING: Short Term INdicator of Euro Area Growth
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Maximo Camacho y Gabriel Perez-Quiros
  • 期刊名称:Documentos de Trabajo / Banco de España
  • 印刷版ISSN:0213-2710
  • 电子版ISSN:1579-8666
  • 出版年度:2008
  • 卷号:1
  • 出版社:Banco de España
  • 摘要:We propose a model to compute short-term forecasts of the Euro area GDP growth in real-time. To allow for forecast evaluation, we construct a real-time data set that changes for each vintage date and includes the exact information that was available at the time of each forecast. In this context, we provide examples that show how data revisions and data availability affect point forecasts and forecast uncertainty.
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