期刊名称：Discussion Papers of the Department of Economics, University of St.Gallen = Diskussionspapiere der Volkswirtschaftlichen Abteilung der Universität St.Gallen
出版年度：2006
卷号：2006
出版社：Universität St. Gallen
摘要：Granger and Sims non-causality (GSNC) are compared to non-causality based on concepts popular in the microeconometrics and programme evaluation literature (potential outcome non-causality, PONC). GSNC is defined as a set of restrictions on joint distributions of random variables with observable sample counterparts, whereas PONC combines restrictions on partially unobservable variables (potential outcomes) with different identifying assumptions that relate potential to observable outcomes. Based on a dynamic model of potential outcomes, we find that in general neither of the concepts implies each other without further assumptions. However, identifying assumptions of the sequential selection on observable type provide the link between those concepts, such that GSNC implies PONC, and vice versa.
