首页    期刊浏览 2024年11月28日 星期四
登录注册

文章基本信息

  • 标题:The Impact of Economic Integration on Employment - An Assessment in the Context of EU-Enlargement
  • 作者:Fertig, Michael
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers / Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
  • 印刷版ISSN:1612-3565
  • 出版年度:2003
  • 卷号:2003
  • 出版社:Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
  • 摘要:

    This paper is motivated by the idea that the enlargement of the European Union is only one part of an overall process, known as economic integration, which characterizes the involvement of European economies into the global division of labor. Therefore, the paper aims at providing a quantitative and qualitative assessment of the impact of economic integration on employment and labor market dynamics in current EU-member and candidate countries. The ultimate aim of this analysis is the provision of forecasts for future labor market developments in the context of EU-enlargement. To this end, we investigate this nexus not only on an economy-wide level, but analyze whether the impact of integration varies for different sectors (automotive and financial services) of the economy. The estimation results suggest that future integration processes lead to an increase of economy-wide employment in the accession countries and a small, if any, rise in this outcome variable in the current EU-countries. Moreover, it could be expected that unemployment rates in the accession countries will decline somewhat, whereas those of the current EU-member states will probably experience an increase. Finally, it is very likely that the structure of employment will shift further towards a higher share of service sector employment.

  • 关键词:Factor Analysis, Panel Data, Sectoral Case Studies
Loading...
联系我们|关于我们|网站声明
国家哲学社会科学文献中心版权所有