期刊名称：Discussion Papers / School of Business, University of New South Wales
出版年度：2007
卷号：2007
出版社：Sydney
摘要：We consider the impact of the recent trend in immigration policies towards selecting migrants
on the basis of skills. The analysis uses an inter-temporal general equilibrium model with
endogenous skill formation. The model is calibrated to a steady state benchmark that
represents Australia in 2000-2001. We then consider the impact of the increase in skilled
migrants of approximately 20 thousand per year, which corresponds to the increase in flows of
migrant Professionals in Australia since 2000. We find that this generates substantial crowding
out of the higher Education sector in Australia. Moreover we show that, when this shock is
anticipated as a permanent policy change, there is very little net increase in the stock of skilled
labour due to falling student enrollments of 12%. Paradoxically, in this case, the decline in
students increases the number of unskilled workers in the economy such that the ratio skilled
to unskilled workers in the economy actually falls and the skill premium increases.
关键词：Immigration, Human Capital, Computable General Equilibrium Models.
