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  • 标题:Analyzing Economy Wide Effects of Trade Liberalisation on Vietnam using a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium Model
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Richard G. Harris ; Peter E. Robertson ; Melissa Wong
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers / School of Business, University of New South Wales
  • 出版年度:2007
  • 卷号:2007
  • 出版社:Sydney
  • 摘要:Since its reform process in the late 1980s, Vietnam has emerged as a rapidly growing economy with growth rates surpassing its more developed ASEAN neighbours. These high growths in both GDP and exports have also affected the micro level by decreasing poverty rates significantly. However, although average wages have increased during this time, wage inequality has also increased as well. In addition, Vietnam has expanded its external relations by signing a BTA with US, joining ASEAN and more recently being admitted into the WTO. This paper aims to consider the economy wide impacts of trade liberalisation on Vietnam. We approach this by way of multi-region, multigood, dynamic growth computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We find that trade liberalisation has caused a large fall in wage inequality thus increasing the welfare of unskilled workers in Vietnam. There is also evidence of a shift away from agriculture towards low-tech and intermediate manufacturing sectors. Additionally, there are significant gains in terms of large physical and human capital accumulation.
  • 关键词:Trade, General Equilibrium, Wage Inequality, Rice, Vietnam
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