期刊名称:Diskussionsbeiträge aus dem Volkswirtschaftlichen Seminar / Universität Göttingen
出版年度:2007
卷号:2007
出版社:Universität Göttingen
摘要:The paper examines the link between population and per capita economic growth,
and poverty, using the interesting case study of Uganda. Although Uganda has
recently experienced excellent economic growth and poverty reduction, it
currently has one of the highest population growth rates in the world which, due
to the inherent demographic momentum, will persist for some time to come. By
combining both a macro and microeconometric approach, using panel data, we are
able to consider the impact of population growth on per capita economic growth
and poverty. We find both theoretical considerations and strong empirical
evidence suggest that the currently high population growth puts a considerable
break on per capita growth prospects in Uganda. Moreover, it contributes
significantly to low achievement in poverty reduction and is associated with
households being persistently poor and moving into poverty. This is therefore
likely to make substantial improvements in poverty reduction, and per capita
growth, very difficult