期刊名称：DIW Diskussionspapiere / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin
出版年度：2007
卷号：2007
出版社：Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin
摘要：In this study we analyse the impact of workers' remittances on the decision to
migrate by means of cointegration analysis. In traditional migration theories,
especially in human capital models, the decision to migrate is based upon
comparison of expected future incomes in the sending and the receiving countries
adjusted for the cost of migration. By contrast, the new economics of labour
migration suggests that the migration decision is made jointly by the migrant
and his family. One important element of this theory is the role of remittances
that is absent in traditional migration theories. In this paper we test
traditional migration theories against the new economics of labour migration.
The study covers the Turkish migration to Germany over the period 1964-2004. A
single cointegrating relation between the migration inflows and the relative
income ratio between Germany and Turkey, the unemployment rates in Germany and
Turkey, the trade intensity variable, and workers' remittances (relative to
Turkish GDP) is found. We find workers' remittances to be significant in
explaining migration both in the short- as well as in the long-run.
关键词：Migration, trade, remittances, the new economic of migration, cointegration
