期刊名称：DIW Diskussionspapiere / Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin
出版年度：2008
卷号：2008
出版社：Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Berlin
摘要：Based on a theoretical framework on informal, custodial and non-custodial
sentencing, the paper provides econometric tests on the effectiveness of police,
public prosecution and courts. Using a unique dataset covering German states for
the period 1977- 2001, a comprehensive system of criminal prosecution indicators
is derived and subsequently related to the incidence of six major offence
categories using panel-econometrics. Empirical evidence suggests that the
criminal policy of diversion failed as increasing shares of dismissals by
prosecutors and judges enhance crime rates in Germany. Crime is significantly
deterred by higher clearance and conviction rates, while the effects of
indicators representing type (fine, probation, imprisonment) and severity
(length of prison sentence, amount of fine) of punishment are often small and
insignificant.
