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  • 标题:Fiscal adjustments and the short-term trade-off between economic growth and equality
  • 作者:Carlos Mulas-Granados
  • 期刊名称:Hacienda Pública Española. Revista de Economía Pública
  • 印刷版ISSN:0210-1173
  • 出版年度:2005
  • 卷号:2005
  • 期号:172
  • 页码:61-61
  • 出版社:Ministerio de Hacienda, Instituto de Estudios Fiscales
  • 摘要:This article examines the short-term economic impact of alternative fiscal adjustment strategies, with an especial focus on their effect on economic growth and income distribution. Based on a sample of 53 adjustment episodes occurred in the fifteen EU Member States between 1960-2000, this article shows that different strategies of fiscal adjustment bring about different economic consequences. Expenditure-based adjustments that are preceded by bad economic and fiscal initial conditions, that are accompanied by a devaluation, and that succeed in cutting the least productive expenditures of the budget, are likely to have anti-Keynesian effects and to be expansionary. Nevertheless, they do so at the expense of increasing income inequality. The opposite is true for revenue-based consolidations. The nineties epitomize the story of expansionary fiscal consolidations via strong wealth and credibility effects, but also the rebirth of the trade-off between growth and equality, mediated by fiscal policy.
  • 关键词:fiscal adjustment, economic growth, equality, budget composition.
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