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  • 标题:Anticipating the Next Crisis
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Atish R. Ghosh ; Jonathan D. Ostry ; Natalia Tamirisa
  • 期刊名称:Finances & Développement
  • 印刷版ISSN:0430-473X
  • 电子版ISSN:0430-473X
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:46
  • 期号:3
  • 出版社:International Monetary Fund
  • 摘要:

    THE current global financial turmoil has rekindled the interest of both policymakers and the general public—after nearly a decade of calm since the emerging market crises of the 1990s—in early warning systems (EWS) to anticipate future financial crises. But what alarms can such systems realistically sound? How would they work? And would they be effective?

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