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  • 标题:Measuring a Boom and Bust: The Sydney Housing Market 2001-2006
  • 本地全文:下载
  • 作者:Robert J. Hill a ; b , Daniel Melserc ; Iqbal Syedb
  • 期刊名称:Discussion Papers / School of Business, University of New South Wales
  • 出版年度:2009
  • 卷号:2009
  • 出版社:Sydney
  • 摘要:The Sydney housing market peaked in 2003. The period 2001-2006 is, therefore, of particular interest since it captures a boom and bust in the housing market. We compute hedonic, repeat-sales and median price indexes for ve regions in Sydney over this period. While the three approaches are in broad agreement regarding the timing of the turning point in the housing market, some important di erences also emerge. In particular, we nd evidence of sample selection bias in our hedonic and repeat-sales data sets, which in turn seems to generate bias (although in opposite directions) in our hedonic and repeat-sales indexes. The median indexes also may be biased as a result of an apparent decline in the average quality of houses sold in the latter part of the sample. Although in this case the repeat-sales indexes seem to generate the most reliable results, we nevertheless in general favor the hedonic approach. We also nd evidence of convergence in prices across regions during the boom and divergence in the subsequent bust.
  • 关键词:House prices; Price index; Hedonic regression; Repeat-Sales index; Sample selection bias; Convergence
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